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HIV Demographic Summary
EXTENT OF THE PANDEMIC
Source: UNAIDS, 2006
| Worldwide HIV Population as of end 2005 |
38.6 million |
| HIV-positive individuals worldwide who do not know they are infected |
34.7 million (90%) |
| People newly infected with HIV in 2005 |
4.1 million |
| Total deaths due to HIV / AIDS as of end 2005 |
25 million |
| Deaths due to AIDS in 2005 |
2.8 million |
| Children who will be orphaned due to AIDS by 2010 (Source: Avert.com) |
18 million |
| People wordlwide who need ARV therapy immediately (Source: Avert.com) |
6.5 million |
| People that have access to ARV therapy (Source: Avert.com) |
1.3 million |
WORLDWIDE HIV POPULATION BY REGION (2005)
Source: UNAIDS, 2006
| Region |
HIV-Positive Individuals |
Adult (15-49) Prevalence (%) |
Newly infected with HIV (2005) |
| Sub-Saharan Africa |
24.5 million |
6.1 |
2.7 million |
| North Africa and Middle East |
440,000 |
0.2 |
37,000 |
| Asia |
8.3 million |
0.4 |
930,000 |
| Oceania |
78,000 |
0.3 |
140,000 |
| Latin America |
1.6 million |
0.5 |
37,000 |
| Caribbean |
330,000 |
1.6 |
37,000 |
| Eastern Europe and Central Asia |
1.5 million |
0.8 |
220,000 |
| North America, Western and Central Europe |
2.0 million |
0.5 |
65,000 |
| TOTAL |
38.6 million |
1.0 |
4.1 million |
COUNTRIES WITH HIGHEST HIV-POSITIVE POPULATIONS AS OF END-2005**
Source: UNAIDS 2006 Report on the HIV Epidemic
| Country |
Adult HIV Prevalence Rate |
| Over 25% of Adult Population (15-49): |
| 1. Swaziland |
33.4% |
| 15-25% of Adult Population (15-49): |
| 2. Botswana |
24.1% |
| 3. Lesotho |
23.2% |
| 4. Zimbabwe |
20.1% |
| 5. Namibia |
19.6% |
| 6. South Africa |
18.8% |
| 7. Zambia |
17.0% |
| 8. Mozambique |
16.1% |
| 10-15% of Adult Population (15-49): |
| 9. Malawi |
14.1% |
| 10. Central African Republic |
10.7% |
| 5-9.99% of Adult Population (15-49): |
| 11. Gabon |
7.9% |
| 12. Cote d'Ivoire |
7.1% |
| 13. Uganda |
6.7% |
| 14. UTanzania |
6.5% |
| 15. Kenya |
6.1% |
| 16. Cameroon |
5.4% |
| 17. Congo |
5.3% |
** Note: once 5% or more of a country's adult population becomes HIV positive, the adult HIV prevalence rate will tend to grow exponentially over time (in some cases, by up to 50% per year).
Source: ADF 2000 Background Paper: Economic Analysis of HIV/AIDS.
The World Bank / ACT Africa / AIDS Campaign Team for Africa. www.iaen.org
ECONOMIC IMPACT OF HIV/AIDS
Source: The Macroeconomic Implications of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: A Preliminary Assessment - Arndt, C. and Lewis, J. The World Bank
| Economic Sector |
Impact |
| Government |
- higher spending on AIDS treatment
- lower revenue due to decreased income taxes changes in revenue from trade due to shifts in production structure
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| Businesses |
- higher spending on insurance and benefits
- lower profits due to:
1. more sick leave and absenteeism
2. decreased worker productivity
3. loss of experienced workersless incentive to invest in training/education due to decreased life expectancy
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| Households
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- loss of income due to illness
- higher spending on HIV / AIDS care depletes savings / assets
- loss of social structure:
1. fewer adults to support / guide younger generations
2. more orphans
3. more children leaving school to work and / or care for older HIV-positive relatives
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ECONOMIC COST OF HIV/AIDS IN AFRICA
Source: www.unaids.org "Report on the Global HIV/AIDS Epidemic 2002"
- Average adult prevalence rate of HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2005:
6.1%
- Growth rate of income per capita in absence of HIV prevalence rate:
1.1% (Swaziland) 2.5% (Botswana)
- Growth rate of income per capita 1990-97:
0.4% (about three times less)
In African Countries with Adult Prevalence Rates Over 20%
- Decline in the growth rate of GDP** per year:
2.6%
- Cumulative decrease in GDP over 20 years:
67%
*Gross Domestic Product: Total amount of goods and services produced by a nation
Additional Facts
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